Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.973163 12.636564 14.420322 16.469992 18.754526 21.216901 24.065896
2025-08-10 8.401803 10.577199 13.078392 16.146145 19.785341 23.941904 29.024352
2025-08-17 6.804858 9.186315 12.075836 15.798413 20.421713 25.927283 32.926957
2025-08-24 5.675914 8.144479 11.282179 15.496259 20.933402 27.632719 36.421749
2025-08-31 4.736048 7.195463 10.458983 15.011218 21.088677 28.805765 39.210910
2025-09-07 4.180821 6.681613 10.127606 15.094096 21.920111 30.809769 43.071744
2025-09-14 3.701544 6.208595 9.788725 15.108338 22.618092 32.626277 46.717572
2025-09-21 3.342363 5.864764 9.587672 15.275616 23.501717 34.692716 50.738740
2025-09-28 2.989505 5.486141 9.292825 15.268555 24.114308 36.387148 54.290174
2025-10-05 2.779929 5.309312 9.278284 15.657970 25.293573 38.889420 59.015439
2025-10-12 2.565948 5.099326 9.188947 15.916398 26.277172 41.134949 63.439362
2025-10-19 2.343084 4.847897 9.008449 16.012019 27.007412 43.027383 67.406765
2025-10-26 2.042194 4.427413 8.521400 15.595672 26.945093 43.776533 69.781625
2025-11-02 1.797233 4.079273 8.123168 15.289026 27.024857 44.723236 72.459246
2025-11-09 1.578289 3.752391 7.730135 14.956690 27.033701 45.545877 74.958900
2025-11-16 1.392079 3.465673 7.380705 14.667916 27.085986 46.420072 77.543308
2025-11-23 1.204921 3.151283 6.950611 14.204448 26.818309 46.775316 79.334542
2025-11-30 1.105757 3.011589 6.834213 14.283631 27.448881 48.545770 83.330840
2025-12-07 1.008856 2.863959 6.688703 14.297239 27.962289 50.138702 87.087283
2025-12-14 0.936679 2.763447 6.626525 14.457072 28.727920 52.152849 91.548757
2025-12-21 0.854609 2.628170 6.481824 14.450326 29.197614 53.694900 95.298127
2025-12-28 0.814618 2.590876 6.535451 14.822461 30.347165 56.379299 100.928996
2026-01-04 0.766441 2.526454 6.525995 15.069463 31.279062 58.725879 106.069904